We take seriously the prospect of climate breakdown and a disruption of organized human existence in our lifetimes. The IPCC 2021 report estimated that on a high emissions pathway (which appears to be compatible with our current trajectory) we are likely to experience global heating of 2.4 C above preindustrial levels in the 2041 to 2060 timeframe, and 4.4 C in the 2081 to 2100 timeframe (of course those estimates will be much lower if emissions are dramatically cut soon – but emissions from burning fossil fuels reached a record in 2022). If we stay on a high emissions pathway, the insurer Swiss Re estimates that, by 2050, climate change could cost the world 23 trillion per annum.
Our lab is connected with the Green New Deal at UCSD (a grassroots climate justice and action movement) and also with ElectrifyUC (a wider 10 campus grouping).
Our research is concerned with sociobehavioral approaches to get the policy support to dramatically reduce emissions, by leaving fossil fuels in the ground, shifting to renewable energy, confronting extractivism and reducing consumption. We are currently interested in two main themes:
From Skepticism to Belief. Skepticism comes in different flavors. While few US adults are skeptical about global heating, about 43% still doubt it is human-caused. Of those who DO accept anthropogenic global heating, many remain skeptical about the risks/impacts. And of those who accept both anthropogenic cause and risk/impacts, many remain skeptical about the prospects for a response – be it personal, collective, national or international. We are interested in research studies that aim to better understand how to accelerate shifts in these beliefs.
From Belief to Collective Action. Our analysis is that institutions and political systems, left to their typical devices, are simply incapable of stopping with fossil energy and fossil finance: they will need to be pushed from below by grassroots pressure at the local, state and national levels. Yet the grassroots collective action movement is tiny. We are interested in research that aims to better understand how to grow it.